alleygorithm
player impact + groups
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alleygorithm
player impact and winning groups

NBA analytics grounded in win probability, player impact, and the groups that have actually driven winning.

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WPA-powered analytics from play-by-play data
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Lineup•Current season•Through 2026-03-19
Isaiah Hartenstein
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Chet Holmgren
Cason Wallace
Ajay Mitchell
OKC logo

Isaiah Hartenstein + Shai Gilgeous-Alexander + Chet Holmgren + Cason Wallace + Ajay Mitchell

Over 100 shared possessions, this lineup has added about +0.526 wins after shrinkage. That is 100th percentile on 204 shared possessions, which currently reads as a high confidence signal. This sample is sturdy enough to treat as a real rotation signal.

Rank #35|100th percentile|high confidence|204 poss
League percentile99.6th
0th (worst)25th50th (median)75th100th (best)
050100
Better than 100% of lineups. Rank #35 in this window, with 204 shared possessions and high confidence.
Impact / 100
+0.526
Surplus
+0.259
Grade
100%
high confidence · grade A+
Context
This sample is sturdy enough to treat as a real rotation signal.
The member average is +0.053, while the group's expected baseline is +0.267.
Surplus read
It is outperforming the member baseline by +0.259.
Member profiles
Isaiah Hartenstein
OKC logo
OKC
+0.032
92th pctl
3,915 posshighOff +0.027 / Def +0.013
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC logo
OKC
+0.098
100th pctl
8,421 posshighOff +0.039 / Def +0.088
Chet Holmgren
OKC logo
OKC
+0.080
100th pctl
7,447 posshighOff +0.007 / Def +0.097
Cason Wallace
OKC logo
OKC
+0.042
96th pctl
7,686 posshighOff -0.001 / Def +0.058
Ajay Mitchell
OKC logo
OKC
+0.015
80th pctl
5,381 posshighOff +0.031 / Def -0.012