See who actually drives winning.
Player and group impact from possession-level win probability. Every player, pair, trio, and lineup scored and ranked.
Data through: Mar 19, 2026
555
Players
4,223
Pairs scored
126K
Possessions
Read every board the same way: score first, percentile second, sample third.
What Changed
Biggest recent movers on the board
These cards stay fixed to Last 30 days vs Current season so you can see who is really moving, independent of the hero range selector.
Player riser
Bam Adebayo
MIA · up 100th percentile read
+10 pctile
Recent delta+0.107
+0.172 in Last 30 days on 1,023 effective poss
Pair riser
Nickeil Alexander-Walker + Onyeka Okongwu
100th percentile · high confidence
+13 pctile
Recent delta+0.018
+0.021 across 656 effective poss
Team riser
Denver Nuggets
Top rotation driver: Nikola Jokić
DEN
Recent delta+0.019
+0.042 rotation impact with 9 players in the core
Player score distribution
-0.150.0+0.20
Who wins together
Win contribution per 100 possessions, EB-shrunk
| # | Pair | Win Contrib | Adv. Surplus | Poss | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Julian Champagnie Victor Wembanyama | +0.016 | -0.028 | 2532 | A+ |
| 2 |   Derrick White González | +0.016 | -0.035 | 1133 | A+ |
| 3 |   Dyson Daniels CJ McCollum | +0.016 | -0.027 | 1069 | A+ |
| 4 |  Victor Wembanyama Stephon Castle | +0.015 | -0.016 | 2667 | A+ |
| 5 |  Devin Vassell Victor Wembanyama | +0.015 | -0.027 | 2173 | A+ |
| 6 |  Jalen Johnson CJ McCollum | +0.014 | -0.005 | 1215 | A+ |
| 7 |   Isaiah Hartenstein Chet Holmgren | +0.014 | -0.028 | 1417 | A+ |
| 8 |  Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Chet Holmgren | +0.013 | -0.038 | 2629 | A+ |
Individual impact
Win contribution per 100 possessions
1
Amen Thompson
+0.130A+
2
Cade Cunningham
+0.123A+
3
Nikola Jokić
+0.117A+
4
Devin Booker
+0.115A+
5Derrick White
+0.115A+
6Chet Holmgren
+0.107A+
7
Michael Porter Jr.
+0.105A+
8
Jimmy Butler III
+0.105A+
9
Kawhi Leonard
+0.104A+
10Victor Wembanyama
+0.103A+
Best lineups
5-man groups by win contribution
#1
+0.297
181 poss
Adv. surplus: +0.107|A+
#2
+0.271
549 poss
Adv. surplus: +0.080|A+
#3
+0.264
137 poss
Adv. surplus: +0.045|A+
#4
+0.261
116 poss
Adv. surplus: -0.009|A+