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HOUAwaylast 5: 3-2LALHomelast 5: 3-2
Sun, May 3
HOU @ LAL
HOU
47.6%
win probability
vs
LAL
52.4%
win probability
Projected margin
LAL by 0.8
Final score gap the model expects. Not a betting line.
- Mon, Apr 13vs MEMW +31
- Sat, Apr 11vs MINL -4
- Fri, Apr 10vs PHIW +11
- Wed, Apr 8@ PHXW +12
- Mon, Apr 6@ GSWL +1
- Mon, Apr 13vs UTAW +24
- Sat, Apr 11vs PHXW +28
- Fri, Apr 10@ GSWW +16
- Wed, Apr 8vs OKCL -36
- Mon, Apr 6@ DALL -6
How this is generated. Predictions come from a ridge-regression EWA fit on every available NBA possession, applied to each team's most recent 30 games. The model has no minute-projection layer and no information about late scratches, so treat sharp line movement as more current than this page. Read the methodology for validation tables and known limitations.