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DENAwaylast 5: 5-0MINHomelast 5: 3-2
Thu, Apr 30
DEN @ MIN
DEN
57.4%
win probability
vs
MIN
42.6%
win probability
Projected margin
DEN by 2.0
Final score gap the model expects. Not a betting line.
- Mon, Apr 13@ SASW +10
- Sat, Apr 11vs OKCW +20
- Thu, Apr 9vs MEMW +17
- Tue, Apr 7vs PORW +0
- Sat, Apr 4vs SASW -1
- Mon, Apr 13vs NOPW +6
- Sat, Apr 11@ HOUW +4
- Thu, Apr 9@ ORLL -12
- Wed, Apr 8@ INDW +20
- Mon, Apr 6vs CHAL -16
How this is generated. Predictions come from a ridge-regression EWA fit on every available NBA possession, applied to each team's most recent 30 games. The model has no minute-projection layer and no information about late scratches, so treat sharp line movement as more current than this page. Read the methodology for validation tables and known limitations.