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SASAwaylast 5: 3-2PORHomelast 5: 4-1
Thu, Apr 30
SAS @ POR
SAS
31.7%
win probability
vs
POR
68.3%
win probability
Projected margin
POR by 6.8
Final score gap the model expects. Not a betting line.
- Mon, Apr 13vs DENL -10
- Sat, Apr 11vs DALW +19
- Tue, Apr 7vs PHIW +11
- Sat, Apr 4@ DENL +1
- Fri, Apr 3@ LACW +19
- Wed, Apr 15@ PHXW +4
- Mon, Apr 13vs SACW +12
- Sat, Apr 11vs LACW +19
- Tue, Apr 7@ DENL +0
- Fri, Apr 3vs NOPW +3
How this is generated. Predictions come from a ridge-regression EWA fit on every available NBA possession, applied to each team's most recent 30 games. The model has no minute-projection layer and no information about late scratches, so treat sharp line movement as more current than this page. Read the methodology for validation tables and known limitations.