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TORAwaylast 5: 3-2CLEHomelast 5: 4-1
Sun, May 3
TOR @ CLE
TOR
31.8%
win probability
vs
CLE
68.2%
win probability
Projected margin
CLE by 6.8
Final score gap the model expects. Not a betting line.
- Mon, Apr 13vs BKNW +35
- Sat, Apr 11@ NYKL -17
- Fri, Apr 10vs MIAW +14
- Wed, Apr 8vs MIAW +26
- Sun, Apr 5@ BOSL -14
- Mon, Apr 13vs WASW +11
- Sat, Apr 11@ ATLL -22
- Thu, Apr 9vs ATLW +6
- Tue, Apr 7@ MEMW +16
- Mon, Apr 6vs INDW +9
How this is generated. Predictions come from a ridge-regression EWA fit on every available NBA possession, applied to each team's most recent 30 games. The model has no minute-projection layer and no information about late scratches, so treat sharp line movement as more current than this page. Read the methodology for validation tables and known limitations.