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PHIAwaylast 5: 3-2BOSHomelast 5: 4-1
Sat, May 2
PHI @ BOS
PHI
32.9%
win probability
vs
BOS
67.1%
win probability
Projected margin
BOS by 6.1
Final score gap the model expects. Not a betting line.
- Thu, Apr 16vs ORLW +6
- Mon, Apr 13vs MILW +20
- Sat, Apr 11@ INDW +11
- Fri, Apr 10@ HOUL -11
- Tue, Apr 7@ SASL -11
- Mon, Apr 13vs ORLW +5
- Sat, Apr 11vs NOPW +26
- Fri, Apr 10@ NYKL -6
- Wed, Apr 8vs CHAW +11
- Sun, Apr 5vs TORW +14
How this is generated. Predictions come from a ridge-regression EWA fit on every available NBA possession, applied to each team's most recent 30 games. The model has no minute-projection layer and no information about late scratches, so treat sharp line movement as more current than this page. Read the methodology for validation tables and known limitations.