Back to predictions
BOSAwaylast 5: 4-1PHIHomelast 5: 3-2
Thu, Apr 30
BOS @ PHI
BOS
55.7%
win probability
vs
PHI
44.3%
win probability
Projected margin
BOS by 1.9
Final score gap the model expects. Not a betting line.
- Mon, Apr 13vs ORLW +5
- Sat, Apr 11vs NOPW +26
- Fri, Apr 10@ NYKL -6
- Wed, Apr 8vs CHAW +11
- Sun, Apr 5vs TORW +14
- Thu, Apr 16vs ORLW +6
- Mon, Apr 13vs MILW +20
- Sat, Apr 11@ INDW +11
- Fri, Apr 10@ HOUL -11
- Tue, Apr 7@ SASL -11
How this is generated. Predictions come from a ridge-regression EWA fit on every available NBA possession, applied to each team's most recent 30 games. The model has no minute-projection layer and no information about late scratches, so treat sharp line movement as more current than this page. Read the methodology for validation tables and known limitations.