Back to predictions
DETAwaylast 5: 5-0ORLHomelast 5: 3-2
Fri, May 1
DET @ ORL
DET
34.1%
win probability
vs
ORL
65.9%
win probability
Projected margin
ORL by 5.6
Final score gap the model expects. Not a betting line.
- Mon, Apr 13@ INDW +12
- Sat, Apr 11@ CHAW +19
- Thu, Apr 9vs MILW +26
- Sun, Apr 5@ PHIW +23
- Fri, Apr 3vs MINW +5
- Sat, Apr 18vs CHAW +31
- Thu, Apr 16@ PHIL -6
- Mon, Apr 13@ BOSL -5
- Sat, Apr 11@ CHIW +24
- Thu, Apr 9vs MINW +12
How this is generated. Predictions come from a ridge-regression EWA fit on every available NBA possession, applied to each team's most recent 30 games. The model has no minute-projection layer and no information about late scratches, so treat sharp line movement as more current than this page. Read the methodology for validation tables and known limitations.