alleygorithm
player impact + groups
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alleygorithm
player impact and winning groups

NBA analytics grounded in win probability, player impact, and the groups that have actually driven winning.

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WPA-powered analytics from play-by-play data
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Pair•Current season•Through 2026-03-19
Chet Holmgren
Cason Wallace
OKC logo

Chet Holmgren + Cason Wallace

Over 100 shared possessions, this pair has added about +0.027 wins after shrinkage. That is 100th percentile on 4,533 shared possessions, which currently reads as a high confidence signal. This sample is sturdy enough to treat as a real rotation signal.

Rank #4|100th percentile|high confidence|4,533 poss
League percentile99.9th
0th (worst)25th50th (median)75th100th (best)
050100
Better than 100% of pairs. Rank #4 in this window, with 4,533 shared possessions and high confidence.
Impact / 100
+0.027
Surplus
-0.003
Grade
100%
high confidence · grade A+
Context
This sample is sturdy enough to treat as a real rotation signal.
The member average is +0.061, while the group's expected baseline is +0.030.
Surplus read
The group is performing close to what you would expect from the members involved.
Member profiles
Chet Holmgren
OKC logo
OKC
+0.080
100th pctl
7,447 posshighOff +0.007 / Def +0.097
Cason Wallace
OKC logo
OKC
+0.042
96th pctl
7,686 posshighOff -0.001 / Def +0.058