alleygorithm
player impact + groups
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alleygorithm
player impact and winning groups

Player, pair, and lineup impact measured from every NBA possession.

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Pair•Current season•Through 2026-04-22
Chet Holmgren
Cason Wallace
OKC logo

Chet Holmgren + Cason Wallace

Over 100 shared possessions, this pair has added about +0.019 wins after shrinkage. That is 100th percentile on 4,930 shared possessions, which currently reads as a high confidence signal. This sample is sturdy enough to treat as a real rotation signal.

Rank #8|+0.9 est. wins|100th percentile|high confidence|4,930 poss
League percentile99.9th
0th (worst)25th50th (median)75th100th (best)
050100
Better than 100% of pairs. Rank #8 in this window, with 4,930 shared possessions and high confidence.
Est. wins added
+0.9
100100th percentile
Impact / 100
+0.019
100100th percentile
Off / Def
O+0.022D+0.020
Shape of value across both sides
Possessions
4,930
high confidence
Grade
100%
grade A+
What stands out
This sample is sturdy enough to treat as a real rotation signal.
The group has added +0.9 estimated wins in this window, which is easier to read than the per-100 rate on its own.
Off/Def shows whether that value is being created through scoring lift, defensive resistance, or a more balanced two-way profile.
Baseline check
The member average is +0.042, while the group's expected baseline is +0.021.
Advanced breakdown
Observed possessions4,930
Member average+0.042
Expected baseline+0.021
Actual group score+0.019
Surplus-0.002
Member profiles
Chet Holmgren
OKC logo
OKC
+0.066
100th pctl
8,581 posshighOff +0.044 / Def +0.052
Cason Wallace
OKC logo
OKC
+0.018
87th pctl
8,742 posshighOff +0.016 / Def +0.024